Archive for the ‘NFL’ Category

Super Bowl

I am writing this post just before the biggest event of the year in sports and sports betting: the Super Bowl.

The 2009-2010 NFL season will culminate with the Superbowl XLIV opposing the Indianapolis Colts to the New Orleans Saints, the two best teams of the regular season. This is the 44th Superbowl which will start in one hour at Dolphin Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

And as far as betting is concerned, this is quite close. Both teams are very strong, and the difference will come from their defenses, which are both not that strong. The Colts had a fantastic season, with the best record in the NFL odds (14-2) and one of the best NFL player in the name of Peyton Manning. The Saints have a very good offense as well as this year they were the best offense in the league.

And you know what happened?

I was in the middle of writing this post, but then I was invited to a great steak house, and I had a fantastic meal with a lot of wine. Oh, and they were playing the Super Bowl on TV at the bar, so I saw some of it. Then I came back home, and saw the last 2 minutes of the match, if you can call it the last two minutes, as the match was over. Then I collapsed in bed. Now it is today, and obviously I am not going to discuss the betting odds anymore, as the match is over.

So now we all now that the Saints won their first Super Bowl by defeating the Indianapolis Colts 31 to 17. The bookmakers were giving the Colts as winners with a slight advantage, but it was close. So I hope you saw the great show and next time I will try publishing a little faster, not to spoil the surprise.

New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots on November 30th

At the time of writing, the Saints are the favorites by three points at +120 juice for week 12 match against the Patriots.

The consensus reports show a split of about 55/45 in favor of New England – not quite enough to move the spread off the magic number of three. This is the biggest total the Patriots have seen in the past 25 years. The Saints got up to 56.5 a couple of times, most recently in 2004 against Kansas City, but never higher.

Historically the New England Patriots lead the all-time series at 8-3 and have won the past three games between the two teams. But the Saints enter week 12 of the NFL regular season with an impeccable 10-0 record versus 7-3 for the Patriots.

Today the New England Patriots come to the Crescent City to play against the New Orleans Saints who will have the best defense and home field advantage. But the Saints defense has had numerous injuries and the Patriots offense should take advantage of that.

With respect to the statistics for this match, the Football Outsiders’ advanced efficiency numbers rank the New England Patriots first in offense while the New Orleans Saints are third. Another measure shows the Saints on top of the league with 420.5 yards per game marginally better than the Patriots at 416.1 yards. New Orleans put quite a few more points on the board at 36.9 per game, easily the most in the NFL and about eight more than 29 per game for the Patriots in the fourth-place.

The Patriots will rely on quarterback Tom Brady who has surpassed the 300 yard passing mark in the past five weeks. For the Saints, their captain Drew Brees have also passed the 300 mark five times this season.

Let’s watch this great encounter on ESPN tonite.